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FLAWFENCE

đź‘‘LEGEND
0x23d8...0288POLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$170K
All-Time
+$35K
30D Volume
$5.0M
Win Rate
12.6%
Only 12.6% win rate but still profitable - plays for size
$169K+ profit in 30 days - legendary status
$5.0M+ volume - major market mover

Diversifier

[DIV]

"Eggs. Many baskets."

Spreads bets across many markets. Portfolio approach to prediction markets.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Risk spreadConsistentMarket exposure
Weakness
Diluted winners

Active Positions

20 open
Total Value$665K
Unrealized+$81K
11/20 profitable

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YESEntry: 0.37¢Size: 118,581.69HIGH
+$59K
+133.5%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

NOEntry: 0.67¢Size: 148,752.14HIGH
+$1,539
+1.54%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.82¢Size: 66,926.4MED
+$5,689
+10.37%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

NOEntry: 0.86¢Size: 59,999.94MED
+$289
+0.57%

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

YESEntry: 0.51¢Size: 73,040.3MED
+$2,668
+7.2%

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

NOEntry: 0.42¢Size: 80,158.77MED
+$3,462
+10.29%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YESEntry: 0.13¢Size: 241,060.58LOW
-$966
-3.1%

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

YESEntry: 0.46¢Size: 63,509.24LOW
+$42
+0.15%

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

YESEntry: 0.36¢Size: 42,207.32LOW
+$13K
+84.35%

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

YESEntry: 0.86¢Size: 32,331.32LOW
-$1,872
-6.7%

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

YESEntry: 0.56¢Size: 42,745.02LOW
-$594
-2.47%

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.34¢Size: 78,237.2LOW
-$3,447
-12.98%

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

YESEntry: 0.51¢Size: 28,288.87LOW
+$5,488
+38%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

YESEntry: 0.32¢Size: 64,004.27LOW
-$1,041
-5.04%

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

YESEntry: 0.68¢Size: 22,813.08LOW
-$1,310
-8.41%

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

NOEntry: 0.57¢Size: 24,746.86LOW
-$607
-4.3%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.92¢Size: 12,731.31LOW
+$611
+5.23%

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?

YESEntry: 0.75¢Size: 14,734.6LOW
-$43
-0.39%

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

NOEntry: 0.54¢Size: 18,344.22LOW
+$994
+10.02%

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.68¢Size: 16,284.66LOW
-$821
-7.46%

Trade History

Last 50 trades
41 BUYS9 SELLS
$424K vol
Oct 13
1 trades
SELL

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

19,999.69@0.38¢
$7,599.88
03:35 AM
Oct 11
3 trades
BUY

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

12,751.81@0.39¢
$4,947.7
11:29 PM
BUY

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

30,890.36@0.67¢
$20,696.54
11:24 PM
BUY

Will Jean-Luc MĂ©lenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

8,053.1@0.89¢
$7,167.26
05:07 AM
Oct 8
3 trades
BUY

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

13,721.91@0.2¢
$2,744.38
07:06 PM
BUY

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

3,293.47@0.87¢
$2,862.04
07:02 PM
BUY

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

77,346.27@0.12¢
$9,281.55
05:17 PM
Oct 5
4 trades
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

4,364@0.54¢
$2,356.56
10:37 AM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

8,781.02@0.54¢
$4,741.75
10:37 AM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

13,901.63@0.54¢
$7,459.8
10:37 AM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

7,317.7@0.53¢
$3,856.16
10:37 AM
Oct 4
5 trades
BUY

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

10,346.74@0.83¢
$8,587.79
08:52 PM
BUY

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

13,912.01@0.83¢
$11,516.15
08:52 PM
BUY

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

12,135.8@0.84¢
$10,194.07
07:11 PM
BUY

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

7,567.28@0.31¢
$2,375.81
02:23 PM
BUY

Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

5,259.97@0.82¢
$4,313.02
12:15 PM
Oct 3
5 trades
BUY

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

44,987.91@0.1¢
$4,498.48
11:17 PM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

6,303.4@0.53¢
$3,334.8
11:54 AM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

19,658.7@0.52¢
$10,127.24
11:54 AM
SELL

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

31,159.66@0.66¢
$20,565.38
11:29 AM
BUY

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

11,336.03@0.56¢
$6,292.79
11:24 AM
Oct 1
1 trades
BUY

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

7,008.19@0.52¢
$3,628.13
04:42 PM
Sep 30
1 trades
BUY

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

12,486.03@0.26¢
$3,238.46
02:00 PM
Sep 29
1 trades
BUY

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

8,796.15@0.58¢
$5,101.77
07:30 AM
Sep 26
6 trades
BUY

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

11,387.57@0.57¢
$6,490.91
12:32 PM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

20,051.97@0.57¢
$11,429.62
12:32 PM
SELL

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4,556.48@0.44¢
$2,004.85
06:21 AM
BUY

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

150,226.78@0.08¢
$12,018.14
06:10 AM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

3,093@0.7¢
$2,165.1
06:05 AM
BUY

Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

5,103.54@0.7¢
$3,572.48
06:04 AM
Sep 25
1 trades
SELL

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

9,025.45@0.57¢
$5,153.53
07:00 PM
Sep 23
6 trades
BUY

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

15,667.73@0.26¢
$4,143.94
01:08 PM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

11,070.43@0.27¢
$2,980.66
01:08 PM
BUY

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

17,305@0.59¢
$10,209.79
12:59 PM
SELL

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

88,131.99@0.41¢
$36,184.44
12:59 PM
SELL

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

27,000@0.44¢
$11,762.82
12:58 PM
SELL

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

14,000@0.5¢
$7,000
12:30 PM
Sep 22
1 trades
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

9,635.3@0.44¢
$4,230.53
04:04 AM
Sep 21
5 trades
BUY

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

9,826.47@0.63¢
$6,171.8
07:22 PM
BUY

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

20,783.4@0.4¢
$8,349.11
07:19 PM
SELL

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

14,821.19@0.86¢
$12,777.6
03:19 PM
BUY

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

30,000@0.19¢
$5,666.97
01:06 PM
BUY

Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

13,968.62@0.92¢
$12,824.42
12:51 PM
Sep 20
3 trades
BUY

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

35,664.03@0.96¢
$34,237.47
06:59 PM
BUY

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

5,394.31@0.67¢
$3,594.95
02:29 AM
SELL

Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

13,159.32@0.94¢
$12,393.53
02:25 AM
Sep 19
4 trades
BUY

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

13,058.68@0.53¢
$6,921.1
08:00 PM
BUY

Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

14,028.41@0.92¢
$12,857.05
07:37 PM
BUY

Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

18,633.57@0.97¢
$18,100.13
07:03 PM
BUY

Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?

10,175.5@0.31¢
$3,203.65
07:00 PM

RELATED SIGNALS

10 signals from this trader

analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/13
value_entry

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/12
whale_alert

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/12
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/11
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/09
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/09
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/08
value_entry

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/05
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/04
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/04