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KC

KCNYEKCHNO

🐟FISH
0x7177...ddefPOLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$995
All-Time
+$995
30D Volume
$0
Win Rate
39%
Only 39% win rate but still profitable - plays for size
84 active positions - heavily diversified

Safe Player

[SAF]

"Protect the bankroll."

Focuses on high-probability bets with limited downside. Never bets the farm.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Capital preservationSteady returnsLow drawdowns
Weakness
Limited upside

Active Positions

// 20 open
Total Value$192K
Unrealized$-56K
6/20 profitable

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.82¢Size: 102,113.01HIGH
+$16K
+19.02%

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.89¢Size: 24,278.39HIGH
+$2,386
+11.02%

Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?

YESEntry: 0.97¢Size: 22,666.98HIGH
+$474
+2.15%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

NOEntry: 0.61¢Size: 28,221.8MED
+$1,065
+6.21%

Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.92¢Size: 9,856.74MED
+$641
+7.04%

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

NOEntry: 0.06¢Size: 99,999.22LOW
+$1,500
+25%

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YESEntry: 0.04¢Size: 136,085.21LOW
-$880
-14.71%

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

YESEntry: 0.41¢Size: 14,286.19LOW
-$1,984
-33.97%

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

NOEntry: 0.4¢Size: 7,000LOW
-$875
-31.25%

Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 81,797.86LOW
-$264
-100%

Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by between 40% and 45%?

YESEntry: 0.25¢Size: 65,575.25LOW
$-17K
-100%

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

NOEntry: 0.28¢Size: 67,519.83LOW
$-19K
-100%

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

YESEntry: 0.03¢Size: 60,282.66LOW
-$2,028
-100%

Will Adelita Grijalva win AZ-07 by more than 50%?

YESEntry: 0.23¢Size: 55,985LOW
$-13K
-100%

Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 81,797.86LOW
-$264
-100%

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?

YESEntry: 0.2¢Size: 70,258.73LOW
$-14K
-100%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?

YESEntry: 0.01¢Size: 27,512.31LOW
-$140
-100%

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?

YESEntry: 0.06¢Size: 78,687.76LOW
-$4,996
-100%

Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?

YESEntry: 0.13¢Size: 31,990.65LOW
-$4,002
-100%

Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 81,797.86LOW
-$264
-100%

Trade History

// Last 22 trades
11 BUYS11 SELLS
$86K vol
Dec 5
2 trades
SELL

Will Behn win TN-07?

2,100.51@1¢
$2,098.41
10:00 AM
SELL

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

105.32@0.77¢
$81.1
09:39 AM
Dec 4
3 trades
SELL

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

18,545.58@0.92¢
$17,080.79
11:37 AM
SELL

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

24,828.53@0.94¢
$23,338.82
10:34 AM
SELL

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

1,088.45@0.94¢
$1,023.14
10:34 AM
Dec 3
15 trades
BUY

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

4,143.4@0.54¢
$2,218.86
11:18 AM
BUY

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

3,595.65@0.54¢
$1,930.31
11:18 AM
BUY

Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

124@0.48¢
$59.52
10:27 AM
BUY

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?

1,020@0.02¢
$21.4
02:29 AM
BUY

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 5–10%?

2,467.87@0.89¢
$2,205.19
02:16 AM
BUY

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 0–5%?

4,048.57@0.75¢
$3,034.5
02:02 AM
BUY

Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 5–10%?

1,619.87@0.74¢
$1,204.4
02:01 AM
BUY

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

4,681.49@0.97¢
$4,541.05
01:46 AM
BUY

Will Behn win TN-07?

2,100.51@0.97¢
$2,036.48
01:46 AM
SELL

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

500@0.83¢
$415
01:31 AM
SELL

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

217.02@0.84¢
$182.3
01:13 AM
SELL

Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?

2,864.15@0.86¢
$2,473.17
01:08 AM
SELL

Will Behn win TN-07?

5,001.64@0.89¢
$4,461.25
01:05 AM
SELL

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

7,632.48@0.9¢
$6,831.91
01:04 AM
SELL

Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?

11,544.7@0.9¢
$10,387.18
01:04 AM
Dec 2
2 trades
BUY

Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election?

30.88@0.88¢
$27.17
05:10 PM
BUY

Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election?

29@0.88¢
$25.52
05:09 PM

RELATED SIGNALS

5 signals from this trader

analyzed_trade

D-Grade: kcnyekchno BUYs Yes

This trade involves selling 'No' at an extreme price with minimal profit potential and a trader with poor performance metrics. The combination of low trader win rate, high market risk score, and unfavorable risk-reward makes this unsuitable for copy-trading despite the mechanical EV calculation.

12/07
analyzed_trade

D-Grade: kcnyekchno SELLs Yes

This is a high-risk contrarian bet from a trader with below-average performance (40% win rate) in a market with no available context for independent verification. The negative expected value (-5.6%), poor risk-reward ratio (0.3), and lack of supporting consensus make this unsuitable for copying. The trader's 'safe_player' classification contradicts the aggressive short position against heavy market consensus.

12/04
whale_alert

Whale Alert: kcnyekchno SELLs $10,387.182

Top 12 trader entered No at 90%

12/04
whale_alert

Whale Alert: kcnyekchno SELLs $23,338.818

Top 12 trader entered No at 94%

12/04
whale_alert

Whale Alert: kcnyekchno SELLs $17,080.794

Top 12 trader entered Yes at 92%

12/04