SCANWHALE

BACK TO LEADERBOARD
EX

EXPECTLESS

🦈SHARK
0x78c6...4710POLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$22K
All-Time
+$22K
30D Volume
$0
Win Rate
48.28%
24 active positions - heavily diversified

Safe Player

[SAF]

"Protect the bankroll."

Focuses on high-probability bets with limited downside. Never bets the farm.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Capital preservationSteady returnsLow drawdowns
Weakness
Limited upside

Active Positions

// 20 open
Total Value$375K
Unrealized$-130K
9/20 profitable

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

YESEntry: 0.72¢Size: 394,475.97HIGH
$-77K
-27.19%

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

YESEntry: 0.78¢Size: 198,716.03HIGH
$-60K
-38.21%

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0.2¢Size: 78,508.85MED
+$9,209
+59.33%

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

YESEntry: 0.78¢Size: 32,086.51MED
-$3,213
-12.84%

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

YESEntry: 0.95¢Size: 7,817.62LOW
+$280
+3.78%

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

NOEntry: 0.53¢Size: 9,409.76LOW
-$988
-19.81%

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 143,031.22LOW
+$3,075
+537.5%

Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0.04¢Size: 74,530.75LOW
-$728
-22.85%

Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0.01¢Size: 108,658.8LOW
-$523
-32.49%

Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 565,497.14LOW
-$283
-25%

Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 524,988.93LOW
+$262
+50%

Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 521,273.49LOW
+$261
+50%

Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 486,314.1LOW
+$243
+50%

Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 286,811.21LOW
-$143
-16.67%

Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 462,294.02LOW
+$231
+50%

Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 457,104.65LOW
+$229
+50%

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.36¢Size: 1,427.83LOW
+$8
+1.53%

Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0¢Size: 339,667.11LOW
-$170
-25%

Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

YESEntry: 0.02¢Size: 57,044.13LOW
-$1,192
-93.3%

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

NOEntry: 0.99¢Size: 0.42LOW
+$0
+0.5%

Trade History

// Last 20 trades
16 BUYS4 SELLS
$873K vol
Dec 2
7 trades
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

31.5@0.73¢
$23
07:58 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

1,620.18@0.76¢
$1,231.34
07:46 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

956.15@0.67¢
$641.08
07:43 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

50,246.35@0.66¢
$33,012.61
07:42 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

51,872.47@0.74¢
$38,588.71
07:42 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

46,458.79@0.71¢
$32,896.03
07:41 PM
SELL

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

99,099.75@1¢
$98,802.45
07:41 PM
Nov 30
4 trades
BUY

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

8,702.18@0.77¢
$6,700.68
06:37 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

46,303.55@0.74¢
$34,071.4
06:37 PM
BUY

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

13,384.33@0.79¢
$10,631.12
06:37 PM
SELL

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

110,311.83@0.86¢
$94,868.17
06:37 PM
Nov 28
4 trades
BUY

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

110,310.88@0.87¢
$95,970.47
10:40 AM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

13,882.6@0.64¢
$8,925.32
10:40 AM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

1,326.19@0.68¢
$897.29
10:40 AM
SELL

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

116,500@1¢
$116,034
10:40 AM
Nov 22
5 trades
BUY

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

33,500@1¢
$33,366
04:53 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

72,455.43@0.72¢
$52,194.79
04:52 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

38,603.4@0.7¢
$27,021.38
04:52 PM
BUY

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

54,898.07@0.68¢
$37,537.32
04:52 PM
SELL

Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?

150,000@1¢
$149,550
04:52 PM

RELATED SIGNALS

5 signals from this trader

value_entry

Value Entry: expectless BUYs $8,925.32

6 tracked whale(s) show weak SPLIT consensus (50%). Bayesian analysis suggests 14% lower true probability.

12/09
value_entry

Value Entry: expectless BUYs $95,970.47

45 tracked whale(s) show moderate YES consensus (73%). Bayesian analysis suggests 1% lower true probability.

12/09
value_entry

Value Entry: expectless BUYs $94,868.17

45 tracked whale(s) show moderate YES consensus (73%). Bayesian analysis suggests 1% lower true probability.

12/09
value_entry

Value Entry: expectless $17,331.8 total

5 tracked whale(s) show strong YES consensus (80%). Bayesian analysis suggests 7% higher true probability.

12/09
value_entry

Value Entry: expectless $222,309.63 total

13 tracked whale(s) with split positions. Market price appears fairly valued.

12/09