SCANWHALE

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85

854A7843

🐟FISH
0xe504...70efPOLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$579
All-Time
+$579
30D Volume
$358
Win Rate
25%
Only 25% win rate but still profitable - plays for size
100 active positions - heavily diversified

Safe Player

[SAF]

"Protect the bankroll."

Focuses on high-probability bets with limited downside. Never bets the farm.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Capital preservationSteady returnsLow drawdowns
Weakness
Limited upside

Active Positions

// 20 open
Total Value$129K
Unrealized+$3,928
14/20 profitable

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.97¢Size: 59,385.53HIGH
+$1,424
+2.48%

Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?

NOEntry: 0.91¢Size: 16,939.39HIGH
+$925
+6.01%

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

NOEntry: 0.76¢Size: 18,121.48HIGH
+$1,073
+7.78%

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

YESEntry: 0.87¢Size: 10,199.89MED
+$857
+9.65%

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

NOEntry: 0.93¢Size: 4,210.37LOW
+$248
+6.35%

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

YESEntry: 0.88¢Size: 4,200LOW
+$273
+7.39%

Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?

NOEntry: 0.97¢Size: 3,992.12LOW
+$54
+1.38%

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

YESEntry: 0.71¢Size: 6,001.09LOW
-$362
-8.55%

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.97¢Size: 3,311.81LOW
+$63
+1.96%

Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

NOEntry: 0.97¢Size: 2,131.5LOW
+$61
+2.94%

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

YESEntry: 0.71¢Size: 2,884.84LOW
-$33
-1.62%

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

NOEntry: 0.93¢Size: 1,526.09LOW
+$54
+3.81%

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

YESEntry: 0.64¢Size: 2,599.98LOW
-$273
-16.41%

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

YESEntry: 0.26¢Size: 5,739.63LOW
-$418
-28.22%

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

NOEntry: 0.6¢Size: 1,217.15LOW
-$142
-19.4%

Will Emma Stone (Bugonia) win Best Actress – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?

YESEntry: 0.15¢Size: 1,822.62LOW
+$164
+60%

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

YESEntry: 0.24¢Size: 2,548.2LOW
-$178
-29.17%

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

YESEntry: 0.07¢Size: 1,176.09LOW
+$76
+92.85%

Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

YESEntry: 0.03¢Size: 1,825.8LOW
+$61
+100.07%

Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

YESEntry: 0.02¢Size: 4,891.51LOW
+$1
+1.11%

Trade History

// Last 20 trades
6 BUYS14 SELLS
$19K vol
Dec 10
20 trades
SELL

Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?

1,280.8@0.95¢
$1,215.24
05:34 PM
SELL

Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

247.37@0.07¢
$17.35
05:26 PM
BUY

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

120@0.14¢
$16.8
05:25 PM
BUY

Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

240@0.14¢
$33.6
05:25 PM
SELL

Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

11@0.06¢
$0.62
05:25 PM
SELL

Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?

14@0.99¢
$13.79
05:24 PM
SELL

Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?

15@0.99¢
$14.88
05:24 PM
SELL

Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025?

105@0.99¢
$104.02
05:23 PM
SELL

Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31?

634.28@0¢
$1.27
05:23 PM
SELL

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

200@0.99¢
$198.4
05:22 PM
SELL

Pakistan strike on India by December 31?

2,652@0.01¢
$38.41
05:22 PM
BUY

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

141.63@0.24¢
$34.41
02:59 PM
BUY

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

18,435.65@0.31¢
$5,761.68
02:57 PM
SELL

Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

42.41@0.01¢
$0.38
02:53 PM
SELL

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

2,031.62@0.99¢
$2,007.49
02:50 PM
SELL

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

6,104.08@0.86¢
$5,249.51
02:45 PM
SELL

Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?

3,808.69@0.99¢
$3,771.54
02:45 PM
BUY

Will Arc Raiders win Best Multiplayer Game at the 2025 Game Awards?

125@0.8¢
$100
02:44 PM
BUY

Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

252@0.13¢
$32.37
02:35 PM
SELL

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

653.2@0.15¢
$98.28
02:32 PM

RELATED SIGNALS

4 signals from this trader

conviction

Conviction: 854A7843 $4,014.98 total

3 tracked whale(s) with no positions. Market price appears fairly valued.

12/10
conviction

Conviction: 854A7843 $10,499.02 total

8 tracked whale(s) show weak SPLIT consensus (50%). Bayesian analysis suggests 1% higher true probability.

12/10
conviction

Conviction: 854A7843 $7,543.08 total

6 tracked whale(s) show strong NO consensus (100%). Bayesian analysis suggests 1% lower true probability.

12/10
conviction

Conviction: 854A7843 $11,523.36 total

15 tracked whale(s) show moderate YES consensus (73%). Bayesian analysis suggests 3% higher true probability.

12/10