TUNATYLER
Safe Player
[SAF]"Protect the bankroll."
Focuses on high-probability bets with limited downside. Never bets the farm.
Active Positions
// 20 openTrade History
// Last 50 tradesRELATED SIGNALS
5 signals from this trader
Conviction: tunatyler $18,790.08 total
8 tracked whale(s) show strong YES consensus (100%). Bayesian analysis suggests 2% higher true probability.
B-Grade: tunatyler BUYs No (4 trades)
This is a solid mid-tier copy signal from a proven rank-6 trader with genuine edge and optimal entry timing in the value zone. The bet on NO at 40.8% offers reasonable risk/reward (1.18) with sufficient liquidity for clean exit. However, the grade stops at B (not A) due to: (1) mixed trader consensus where only 3 of top-10 are aligned suggests this isn't a high-conviction whale thesis, (2) 58% win rate is competent but not elite-level, and (3) the underlying outcome (AI as TIME POTY) has significant cultural randomness that may limit predictive edge. This is a copy-worthy signal for patient traders with 20-day capital availability, but not an exceptional opportunity that warrants aggressive sizing.
Value Entry: tunatyler $4,370 total
44 tracked whale(s) show weak SPLIT consensus (50%). Bayesian analysis suggests 3% higher true probability.
Conviction: tunatyler BUYs $2,375
64 tracked whale(s) show weak SPLIT consensus (58%). Bayesian analysis suggests 2% lower true probability.
C-Grade: tunatyler BUYs No
tunatyler is a solid trader with verifiable edge, and market liquidity is sufficient for safe exits. However, this trade exemplifies a critical copy-trading trap: selling at 86.9% means we need the market to stay high to profit, but have only 13.1% upside vs 86.9% downside. While the whale's 58.6% win rate is better than baseline, it's not elite enough to justify extreme-price entries for retail users. The modest EV of 1.8% and weak top-10 consensus further reduce appeal. Watch for better entry points if market pulls back, or consider this only if you have strong conviction that UFO declassification is extremely unlikely (probability <15%).